Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002423 0.002565 0.002716 0.002891 0.003088 0.003305 0.003565
2025-05-11 0.002207 0.002399 0.002616 0.002880 0.003201 0.003584 0.004088
2025-05-18 0.002102 0.002333 0.002606 0.002957 0.003410 0.003995 0.004848
2025-05-25 0.001978 0.002228 0.002531 0.002936 0.003485 0.004241 0.005445
2025-06-01 0.001864 0.002122 0.002442 0.002882 0.003500 0.004397 0.005944
2025-06-08 0.001817 0.002093 0.002444 0.002943 0.003679 0.004820 0.007016
2025-06-15 0.001768 0.002057 0.002432 0.002981 0.003825 0.005217 0.008222
2025-06-22 0.001698 0.001988 0.002370 0.002939 0.003839 0.005392 0.009054
2025-06-29 0.001632 0.001921 0.002304 0.002886 0.003826 0.005514 0.009831
2025-07-06 0.001578 0.001866 0.002253 0.002848 0.003834 0.005674 0.010825
2025-07-13 0.001494 0.001768 0.002136 0.002703 0.003644 0.005408 0.010394
2025-07-20 0.001459 0.001734 0.002108 0.002692 0.003685 0.005624 0.011687
2025-07-27 0.001444 0.001729 0.002123 0.002755 0.003870 0.006216 0.015227
2025-08-03 0.001411 0.001698 0.002099 0.002752 0.003937 0.006564 0.018583
2025-08-10 0.001401 0.001698 0.002120 0.002825 0.004160 0.007391 0.028687
2025-08-17 0.001368 0.001665 0.002089 0.002807 0.004199 0.007741 0.038447
2025-08-24 0.001329 0.001621 0.002041 0.002757 0.004165 0.007865 0.047793
2025-08-31 0.001319 0.001618 0.002054 0.002814 0.004367 0.008845 0.150203
2025-09-07 0.001304 0.001608 0.002055 0.002849 0.004527 0.009803 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001274 0.001574 0.002017 0.002810 0.004511 0.010069 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001243 0.001538 0.001975 0.002761 0.004464 0.010190 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001217 0.001508 0.001942 0.002726 0.004450 0.010459 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001170 0.001447 0.001857 0.002592 0.004180 0.009455 NaN